Benfica crestAlverca crest

Benfica v Alverca bet builder

Monday 2 November 2026, 20:15 · Primeira Liga

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

  • Benfica or draw

    80%+ the model

    The pre-match read for this game is double chance, Benfica or draw (90%). Double chance is our strongest verified market.

    1.11 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 3.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.07 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 84% chance all land
1.18

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Benfica v Alverca, 84% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Benfica Home Win 74% 1.16 +
  • Under 4.5 Goals 69% 1.38 +
  • Benfica (first half) First Half 67% 1.50 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 55% 1.85 +
  • Over 3.5 Goals 54% 1.91 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • G. Prestianni Benfica
    Shots on target 1+

    G. Prestianni: 0.71 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • D. Lukebakio Benfica
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Lukebakio: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games [WC form: 2.37/90 over 1 games (38 min), 8% weight

  • Chiquinho Alverca
    Shots on target 1+

    Chiquinho: 0.71 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Figueiredo Alverca
    Shots on target 1+

    Figueiredo: 0.56 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 41%
    Corners: Benfica avg 6.8 for/2.6 against, Alverca avg 4.4 for/4.3 against so expected 9.0 match corners
  • Over 6.5 Match Corners 79%
    Corners: Benfica avg 6.8 for/2.6 against, Alverca avg 4.4 for/4.3 against so expected 9.0 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards 43%
    Cards: Benfica avg 2.1/game, Alverca avg 2.2/game so expected 4.3 match cards
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Benfica avg 2.1/game, Alverca avg 2.2/game so expected 4.3 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 49%
    Fouls: Benfica avg 10.7/game, Alverca avg 13.8/game so expected 24.5 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 79%
    Fouls: Benfica avg 10.7/game, Alverca avg 13.8/game so expected 24.5 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 71%
    Shots: Benfica avg 18.0/game, Alverca avg 11.6/game so expected 29.6 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Benfica avg 18.0/game, Alverca avg 11.6/game so expected 29.6 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Same-game build one leg a market, live prices

3 legs on this fixture, one a market, priced across the books with the combined return. Built for members. Seven days for £1 opens it.

Market singles

  • Benfica under 4 goals 85% market Marathon Bet
    1.20 +
  • Over 7.5 corners 85% market 1xBet
    1.25 +
  • Under 2.5 first half goals 84% market William Hill
    1.22 +
  • Under 5.5 cards 81% market Betano
    1.24 +
  • Alverca under 1 goals 80% market 1xBet
    1.32 +
  • Benfica over 4.5 corners 80% market Pinnacle
    1.67 +
  • Benfica under 8.5 corners 79% market 1xBet
    1.26 +
  • Benfica over 2 goals 79% market 1xBet
    1.35 +
  • Under 11.5 corners 79% market Pinnacle
    1.47 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 78% market BetVictor
    1.36 +
  • Over 2.5 goals 76% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Under 4.5 goals 76% market Bet365
    1.36 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.