Bayer Leverkusen v SC Freiburg bet builder

Sunday 18 October 2026, 14:30 · Bundesliga

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Bayer Leverkusen or draw

    the model's number, for members

    Record this market has landed 82% across 228 graded picks

    1.29 +
  • The call and the price are free on every leg. The model's number and the desk's reason on each are in FBB Pro, seven days for £1, with the combined price and the chance the whole build lands.
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Record this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks

Combined fair oddsThe model's combined price on this build, and the chance every leg lands. Seven days for £1.
Join FBB Pro

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 1.29 +
  • Bayer Leverkusen Home Win 1.73 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 1.80 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 47%
    Corners: Bayer Leverkusen avg 8.0 for/2.8 against, SC Freiburg avg 3.8 for/4.3 against so expected 9.5 match corners
  • Over 7.5 Match Corners 73%
    Corners: Bayer Leverkusen avg 8.0 for/2.8 against, SC Freiburg avg 3.8 for/4.3 against so expected 9.5 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 43%
    Cards: Bayer Leverkusen avg 2.0/game, SC Freiburg avg 1.3/game so expected 3.3 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Bayer Leverkusen avg 2.0/game, SC Freiburg avg 1.3/game so expected 3.3 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 60%
    Fouls: Bayer Leverkusen avg 14.3/game, SC Freiburg avg 11.7/game so expected 25.9 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Bayer Leverkusen avg 14.3/game, SC Freiburg avg 11.7/game so expected 25.9 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Bayer Leverkusen avg 18.3/game, SC Freiburg avg 16.0/game so expected 34.3 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Bayer Leverkusen avg 18.3/game, SC Freiburg avg 16.0/game so expected 34.3 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Over 1 second half goals 85% market 1xBet
    1.18 +
  • Under 2.5 first half goals 83% market William Hill
    1.20 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 83% market William Hill
    1.22 +
  • Bayer Leverkusen or Draw (double chance) 82% market William Hill
    1.22 +
  • Bayer Leverkusen or SC Freiburg (double chance) 82% market William Hill
    1.22 +
  • Under 4.5 goals 78% market 1xBet
    1.29 +
  • SC Freiburg over 0.5 goals 75% market 1xBet
    1.33 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 74% market William Hill
    1.36 +
  • Under 4 goals 71% market 1xBet
    1.41 +
  • Both teams to score: Yes 69% market William Hill
    1.44 +
  • Over 2.5 goals 69% market Bet365
    1.44 +
  • Bayer Leverkusen over 1.5 goals 68% market 1xBet
    1.47 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

Seven days for £1 then £9.99 a month, or £79.99 a year. Cancel any time.
The pick of the day is free, in full, on days with two or more singles. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.