Barcelona v Aston Villa bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
On the record-
3.24 +
Aston Villa or draw
31% the modelRecord this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks
Our board prices this at 31%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)
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1.01 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelRecord this market has landed 64% across 119 graded picks
Goals: the sides' goal rates read 5.50 and 4.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
The model puts this 2-leg build at 31% combined for Barcelona v Aston Villa. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.
Alternative picks
- Barcelona Home Win 69% 1.25 +
- Barcelona (first half) First Half 65% 1.57 +
- Over 3.5 Goals 63% 1.55 +
- Under 4.5 Goals 58% 1.70 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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Lamine Yamal BarcelonaShots on target 1+
Lamine Yamal: 1.60 shots on target a game over 10 games [WC form: 1.49/90 over 2 games (121 min), 22% weight
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Fermín BarcelonaShots on target 1+
Fermín: 1.00 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Lamine Yamal BarcelonaShots on target 2+
Lamine Yamal: 1.60 shots on target a game over 10 games [WC form: 1.49/90 over 2 games (121 min), 22% weight
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J. Manzambi Aston VillaShots on target 1+
J. Manzambi: 0.80 shots on target a game over 5 games [WC form: 0.82/90 over 2 games (110 min), 21% weight
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Lamine Yamal BarcelonaAnytime scorer
Lamine Yamal: 0.80 goals a game over 10 games [WC form: 0.74/90 over 2 games (121 min), 22% weight
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Lamine Yamal BarcelonaAnytime assist
Lamine Yamal on 0.60 assists/match (10 apps, 33 key passes) [WC form: 0.00/90 over 2 games (121 min), 22% weight
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 8.5 Match Corners 53%Corners: Barcelona avg 6.4 for/3.1 against, Aston Villa avg 4.4 for/3.8 against so expected 8.9 match corners
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Over 6.5 Match Corners 78%Corners: Barcelona avg 6.4 for/3.1 against, Aston Villa avg 4.4 for/3.8 against so expected 8.9 match corners; the safer line
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Over 3.5 Match Cards 44%Cards: Barcelona avg 1.6/game, Aston Villa avg 1.8/game so expected 3.4 match cards
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Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+Cards: Barcelona avg 1.6/game, Aston Villa avg 1.8/game so expected 3.4 match cards; the safer line
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 57%Fouls: Barcelona avg 10.2/game, Aston Villa avg 11.3/game so expected 21.4 match fouls
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Over 18.5 Match Fouls 73%Fouls: Barcelona avg 10.2/game, Aston Villa avg 11.3/game so expected 21.4 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 26.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Barcelona avg 19.1/game, Aston Villa avg 13.5/game so expected 32.6 match shots
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Barcelona avg 19.1/game, Aston Villa avg 13.5/game so expected 32.6 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Same-game build one leg a market, live prices
3 legs on this fixture, one a market, priced across the books with the combined return. Built for members. Seven days for £1 opens it.
Market singles
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Barcelona under 4.5 goals 85% market Bet3651.22 +
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Over 2 cards 84% market Pinnacle1.19 +
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Under 3.5 second half goals 83% market Bet3651.22 +
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Under 5.5 cards 83% market Betano1.21 +
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Barcelona to win 82% market Bet3651.25 +
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Over 1 first half goals 81% market BetVictor1.23 +
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Barcelona over 2 goals 81% market Marathon Bet1.23 +
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Under 5.5 goals 80% market Bet3651.30 +
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Over 3 goals 80% market BetVictor1.28 +
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Over 3 goals 80% market Pinnacle1.25 +
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Under 2.5 first half goals 76% market Bet3651.36 +
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Under 3 second half goals 76% market Marathon Bet1.32 +
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.