Athletic Club v Espanyol bet builder

Sunday 22 November 2026, 16:00 · La Liga

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record

Athletic Club or draw

80%+ the model

Record this market has landed 82% across 340 graded picks

The pre-match read for this game is double chance, Athletic Club or draw (90%). Double chance is our strongest verified market.

1.11 +
Over 2.5 Goals

76% the model

Record this market has landed 64% across 120 graded picks

Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.

1.31 +

Combined fair odds2 legs, 69% chance all land

1.46

The model puts this 2-leg build at 69% combined for Athletic Club v Espanyol. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

Over 1.5 Goals 74% 1.26 +
Under 3.5 Goals 67% 1.39 +
Athletic Club Home Win 64% 1.48 +
Athletic Club (first half) First Half 52% 1.99 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

Robert Navarro Athletic Club

Shots on target 1+

Robert Navarro: 0.78 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Oihan Sancet Athletic Club

Shots on target 1+

Oihan Sancet: 0.71 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
I. Williams Athletic Club

Shots on target 1+

I. Williams: 0.82 shots on target a game over 11 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 1 games (66 min), 14% weight
Roberto Fernández Espanyol

Shots on target 1+

Roberto Fernández: 0.82 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Álex Berenguer Athletic Club

Shots on target 1+

Álex Berenguer: 0.55 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Roger Hinojo Espanyol

To be carded

Roger Hinojo (Defender) on 0.50 yellows/match (10 apps), pos-mult 1.10
Javier Hernandez Espanyol

Anytime assist

Javier Hernandez on 0.55 assists/match (11 apps, 18 key passes), match xG 2.51
Álex Calatrava Espanyol

Shots on target 1+

Álex Calatrava: 0.50 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

Over 9.5 Match Corners 43%
Corners: Athletic Club avg 5.2 for/4.1 against, Espanyol avg 3.0 for/5.9 against so expected 9.1 match corners
Over 6.5 Match Corners 80%+
Corners: Athletic Club avg 5.2 for/4.1 against, Espanyol avg 3.0 for/5.9 against so expected 9.1 match corners; the safer line
Over 4.5 Match Cards 52%
Cards: Athletic Club avg 1.8/game, Espanyol avg 2.9/game so expected 4.8 match cards
Over 2.5 Match Cards 80%+
Cards: Athletic Club avg 1.8/game, Espanyol avg 2.9/game so expected 4.8 match cards; the safer line
Over 24.5 Match Fouls 55%
Fouls: Athletic Club avg 10.8/game, Espanyol avg 14.5/game so expected 25.3 match fouls
Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
Fouls: Athletic Club avg 10.8/game, Espanyol avg 14.5/game so expected 25.3 match fouls; the safer line
Over 22.5 Match Shots 45%
Shots: Athletic Club avg 11.8/game, Espanyol avg 10.3/game so expected 22.1 match shots
Over 18.5 Match Shots 77%
Shots: Athletic Club avg 11.8/game, Espanyol avg 10.3/game so expected 22.1 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

Under 2.5 second half goals 85% market Bet365
1.20 +
Over 0.5 second half goals 83% market William Hill
1.25 +
Over 1.5 goals 81% market BetVictor
1.26 +
Over 0.5 first half goals 75% market Bet365
1.36 +
Under 3.5 goals 75% market Bet365
1.40 +
Athletic Club under 2.5 goals 74% market Bet365
1.40 +
Espanyol under 1 goals 72% market Marathon Bet
1.38 +
Under 1.5 first half goals 71% market Bet365
1.44 +
Athletic Club to win 71% market William Hill
1.50 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.