Aston Villa v Brentford bet builder

Saturday 10 October 2026, 15:00 · Premier League

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Brentford or draw

    the model's number, for members

    Record this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks

    1.49 +
  • The call and the price are free on every leg. The model's number and the desk's reason on each are in FBB Pro, seven days for £1, with the combined price and the chance the whole build lands.
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Record this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks

Combined fair oddsThe model's combined price on this build, and the chance every leg lands. Seven days for £1.
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Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 1.21 +
  • Aston Villa or Draw Double Chance 1.51 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 1.41 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 48%
    Corners: Aston Villa avg 4.4 for/3.1 against, Brentford avg 5.3 for/6.3 against so expected 9.5 match corners
  • Over 7.5 Match Corners 74%
    Corners: Aston Villa avg 4.4 for/3.1 against, Brentford avg 5.3 for/6.3 against so expected 9.5 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 37%
    Cards: Aston Villa avg 1.8/game, Brentford avg 1.3/game so expected 3.1 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Aston Villa avg 1.8/game, Brentford avg 1.3/game so expected 3.1 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 55%
    Fouls: Aston Villa avg 11.2/game, Brentford avg 10.0/game so expected 21.2 match fouls
  • Over 16.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Aston Villa avg 11.2/game, Brentford avg 10.0/game so expected 21.2 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 61%
    Shots: Aston Villa avg 12.3/game, Brentford avg 15.8/game so expected 28.1 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Aston Villa avg 12.3/game, Brentford avg 15.8/game so expected 28.1 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Over 0.5 second half goals 85% market William Hill
    1.20 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 82% market William Hill
    1.22 +
  • Brentford over 0.5 goals 82% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Aston Villa over 0.5 goals 81% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Aston Villa under 2 goals 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.24 +
  • Brentford under 2 goals 79% market Marathon Bet
    1.26 +
  • Aston Villa or Brentford (double chance) 79% market 1xBet
    1.34 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 77% market Marathon Bet
    1.35 +
  • Over 2 goals 76% market Pinnacle
    1.33 +
  • Brentford or Draw (double chance) 70% market Bet365
    1.50 +
FBB Pro

The daily sheet: every leg, with its chance of landing

Every leg on the card ranked by how likely it is to land, the accas built from that list, the facts behind each leg, and the calls the desk refused, with the reason. Locked before kick-off, graded in public, wins and losses alike.

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Cancel any time. 18+. This is analysis and opinion, not betting advice.