AS Roma v Monza bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
On the record-
1.37 +AS Roma73% the model
Record this market has landed 72% across 203 graded picks
3rd vs 18th. AS Roma won their last 4 at home. Visitors poor away. The market prices this at 74%; the model's own number is 73%, from its record in this market
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1.32 +
Over 2.5 Goals
76% the modelRecord this market has landed 64% across 120 graded picks
Avg 3.8 goals/game expected.
The model puts this 2-leg build at 55% combined for AS Roma v Monza. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.
Alternative picks
- Under 4.5 Goals 70% 1.36 +
- AS Roma (first half) First Half 61% 1.61 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 55% 1.82 +
- Over 3.5 Goals 50% 2.01 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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M. Soulé AS RomaShots on target 1+
M. Soulé: 1.18 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Gustavo Varela MonzaShots on target 1+
Gustavo Varela: 1.40 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Gustavo Varela MonzaAnytime scorer
Gustavo Varela: 0.90 goals a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 2.27 a game
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Jay Robinson MonzaShots on target 1+
Jay Robinson: 1.00 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Dany Mota MonzaShots on target 1+
Dany Mota: 0.88 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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N. Pisilli AS RomaShots on target 1+
N. Pisilli: 0.60 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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S. Birindelli MonzaShots on target 1+
S. Birindelli: 0.60 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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M. Soulé AS RomaShots on target 2+
M. Soulé: 1.18 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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N. Pisilli AS RomaAnytime scorer
N. Pisilli: 0.30 goals a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 2.27 a game
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Gustavo Varela MonzaShots on target 2+
Gustavo Varela: 1.40 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 9.5 Match Corners 43%Corners: AS Roma avg 5.9 for/3.8 against, Monza avg 4.2 for/4.4 against so expected 9.2 match corners
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Over 6.5 Match Corners 80%+Corners: AS Roma avg 5.9 for/3.8 against, Monza avg 4.2 for/4.4 against so expected 9.2 match corners; the safer line
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Over 3.5 Match Cards 51%Cards: AS Roma avg 1.7/game, Monza avg 2.0/game so expected 3.7 match cards
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Over 2.5 Match Cards 72%Cards: AS Roma avg 1.7/game, Monza avg 2.0/game so expected 3.7 match cards; the safer line
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Over 24.5 Match Fouls 41%Fouls: AS Roma avg 11.6/game, Monza avg 11.9/game so expected 23.5 match fouls
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 73%Fouls: AS Roma avg 11.6/game, Monza avg 11.9/game so expected 23.5 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 26.5 Match Shots 77%Shots: AS Roma avg 16.7/game, Monza avg 13.9/game so expected 30.6 match shots
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: AS Roma avg 16.7/game, Monza avg 13.9/game so expected 30.6 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Under 2.5 first half goals 83% market Bet3651.20 +
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AS Roma over 1.5 goals 81% market Bet3651.28 +
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AS Roma to win 81% market Bet3651.25 +
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Under 4.5 goals 77% market Bet3651.33 +
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AS Roma under 3.5 goals 77% market Bet3651.30 +
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Under 2 first half goals 76% market Marathon Bet1.34 +
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Monza under 1 goals 76% market Marathon Bet1.41 +
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Over 2.5 goals 74% market Bet3651.40 +
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Under 2.5 second half goals 74% market Bet3651.36 +
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Under 4 goals 69% market 1xBet1.50 +
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AS Roma to win the second half 69% market Bet3651.50 +
More fixtures
All previews ›
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.