AS Roma v Genoa bet builder

Saturday 17 October 2026, 19:45 · Serie A

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • AS Roma to win

    the model's number, for members

    Record this market has landed 70% across 189 graded picks

    1.46 +
  • The call and the price are free on every leg. The model's number and the desk's reason on each are in FBB Pro, seven days for £1, with the combined price and the chance the whole build lands.
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Record this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks

Combined fair oddsThe model's combined price on this build, and the chance every leg lands. Seven days for £1.
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Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 1.17 +
  • Under 4.5 Goals 1.22 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 1.51 +
  • AS Roma (first half) First Half 1.72 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Junior Messias Genoa
    Shots on target 1+

    Junior Messias: 0.60 shots on target a game over 5 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 52%
    Corners: AS Roma avg 5.7 for/3.3 against, Genoa avg 4.7 for/4.0 against so expected 8.8 match corners
  • Over 6.5 Match Corners 78%
    Corners: AS Roma avg 5.7 for/3.3 against, Genoa avg 4.7 for/4.0 against so expected 8.8 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 43%
    Cards: AS Roma avg 1.6/game, Genoa avg 1.8/game so expected 3.4 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: AS Roma avg 1.6/game, Genoa avg 1.8/game so expected 3.4 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Fouls 46%
    Fouls: AS Roma avg 12.7/game, Genoa avg 9.5/game so expected 22.2 match fouls
  • Over 18.5 Match Fouls 78%
    Fouls: AS Roma avg 12.7/game, Genoa avg 9.5/game so expected 22.2 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 56%
    Shots: AS Roma avg 15.9/game, Genoa avg 11.6/game so expected 27.5 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: AS Roma avg 15.9/game, Genoa avg 11.6/game so expected 27.5 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 2 first half goals 84% market Marathon Bet
    1.19 +
  • AS Roma under 3.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Over 2 goals 82% market Pinnacle
    1.28 +
  • Under 4 goals 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.23 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 80% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 79% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • AS Roma to win 79% market William Hill
    1.29 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.28 +
  • Genoa under 1 goals 78% market 1xBet
    1.31 +
  • AS Roma under 3 goals 77% market Marathon Bet
    1.33 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

Seven days for £1 then £9.99 a month, or £79.99 a year. Cancel any time.
The pick of the day is free, in full, on days with two or more singles. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.