Arouca v CF Estrela bet builder

Sunday 11 October 2026, 20:30 · Primeira Liga

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only
  • Arouca

    the model's number, for members
    2.17 +
  • The call and the price are free on every leg. The model's number and the desk's reason on each are in FBB Pro, seven days for £1, with the combined price and the chance the whole build lands.
  • Under 2.5 Goals

Combined fair oddsThe model's combined price on this build, and the chance every leg lands. Seven days for £1.
Join FBB Pro

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Barbero Arouca
    Shots on target 1+

    Barbero: 1.29 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Marcus CF Estrela
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Marcus: 1.43 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • L. Antonetti CF Estrela
    Shots on target 1+

    L. Antonetti: 1.00 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • I. Stoica CF Estrela
    Shots on target 1+

    I. Stoica: 0.86 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Barbero Arouca
    Shots on target 2+

    Barbero: 1.29 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • José Fontán Arouca
    Shots on target 1+

    José Fontán: 0.43 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • T. Fukui Arouca
    Shots on target 1+

    T. Fukui: 0.43 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Marcus CF Estrela
    Shots on target 2+

    A. Marcus: 1.43 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 31%
    Corners: Arouca avg 3.1 for/5.0 against, CF Estrela avg 2.3 for/4.3 against so expected 7.3 match corners
  • Over 5.5 Match Corners 74%
    Corners: Arouca avg 3.1 for/5.0 against, CF Estrela avg 2.3 for/4.3 against so expected 7.3 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards 71%
    Cards: Arouca avg 2.5/game, CF Estrela avg 3.5/game so expected 6.0 match cards
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Arouca avg 2.5/game, CF Estrela avg 3.5/game so expected 6.0 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Fouls 49%
    Fouls: Arouca avg 11.5/game, CF Estrela avg 11.0/game so expected 22.5 match fouls
  • Over 18.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Arouca avg 11.5/game, CF Estrela avg 11.0/game so expected 22.5 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 44%
    Shots: Arouca avg 10.9/game, CF Estrela avg 15.0/game so expected 25.9 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 74%
    Shots: Arouca avg 10.9/game, CF Estrela avg 15.0/game so expected 25.9 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

Seven days for £1 then £9.99 a month, or £79.99 a year. Cancel any time.
The pick of the day is free, in full, on days with two or more singles. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.