Angers crestLens crest

Angers v Lens bet builder

Saturday 28 November 2026, 16:15 · Ligue 1

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record

  • Lens or Draw

    77% the model

    Record this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks

    Win if away team wins or draws. Away team favoured.

    1.30 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    60% the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 120 graded picks

    Avg 3.0 goals/game expected.

    1.67 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 46% chance all land
2.16

The model puts this 2-leg build at 46% combined for Angers v Lens. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 77% 1.22 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 57% 1.60 +
  • Lens Away Win 55% 1.71 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • P. Peter Angers
    Shots on target 1+

    P. Peter: 0.60 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Sbaï Angers
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Sbaï: 0.50 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Allevinah Angers
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Allevinah: 0.50 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. El Ouazzani Angers
    Shots on target 1+

    A. El Ouazzani: 0.50 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 10.5 Match Corners 43%
    Corners: Angers avg 4.6 for/4.7 against, Lens avg 6.5 for/4.4 against so expected 10.1 match corners
  • Over 7.5 Match Corners 79%
    Corners: Angers avg 4.6 for/4.7 against, Lens avg 6.5 for/4.4 against so expected 10.1 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 54%
    Cards: Angers avg 1.6/game, Lens avg 2.3/game so expected 3.9 match cards
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 75%
    Cards: Angers avg 1.6/game, Lens avg 2.3/game so expected 3.9 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 44%
    Fouls: Angers avg 11.2/game, Lens avg 12.7/game so expected 23.9 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 75%
    Fouls: Angers avg 11.2/game, Lens avg 12.7/game so expected 23.9 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 50%
    Shots: Angers avg 10.6/game, Lens avg 16.2/game so expected 26.7 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 79%
    Shots: Angers avg 10.6/game, Lens avg 16.2/game so expected 26.7 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 4.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Lens or Draw (double chance) 82% market 1xBet
    1.22 +
  • Over 2 goals 81% market 1xBet
    1.23 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 80% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 80% market 1xBet
    1.25 +
  • Angers or Lens (double chance) 79% market 1xBet
    1.27 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 77% market 1xBet
    1.30 +
  • Angers over 0.5 goals 74% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Angers under 1.5 goals 71% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Lens under 2.5 goals 71% market Bet365
    1.40 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.