Bet Builder · Fixture Tip

Alavés vs Getafe Bet Builder Tip

Saturday 15 August 2026, 18:30 · La Liga

⚙️ A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

Our Model's Picks

Tracked · part of our verified record

Our 3-Leg Bet Builder

Combined probability: 13.6% · Combined fair odds: 7.35

  • Draw

    Probability: 38.3% · Fair odds: 2.61

    Both draw often.

  • Under 2.5 Goals

    Probability: 64.5% · Fair odds: 1.55

    Tracked this market has hit 64% across 110 verified picks

    Avg 2.2 goals/game expected.

  • Both Teams to Score - No

    Probability: 55.1% · Fair odds: 1.81

    Tracked this market has hit 61% across 36 verified picks

    Home 34% to blank (score 1.2/game).

Our model rates this 3-leg combination at 13.6% combined, blending the strongest match-result and goals markets for Alavés vs Getafe. Combined probability assumes the legs are independent, in reality the model-result and goals legs are mildly correlated, so treat the combined as a guide rather than a precise figure. We log every prediction we publish.

More to Build With

Extra markets · not tracked

Player Form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • A. Abqar Getafe
    To Be Carded 38%

    A. Abqar (Defender) on 0.43 yellows/match (23 apps), pos-mult 1.10 → lambda 0.48, P(carded)=38%

  • M. Arambarri Getafe
    Shots on Target 1+ 37%

    M. Arambarri averages 0.51 SoT/match (37 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.46, P(1+)=37% P(2+)=8%

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

How is this built?

This bet builder is auto-generated by our football model across hundreds of weekly picks. Every leg is a team market (match result, goals, BTTS). Each leg shows the model's probability alongside the fair odds, so you can see exactly where we think the edge is. We don't cherry-pick wins; we log every prediction we publish, win or lose. Player markets shown above are informational only and never count toward that record. These are the same markets that make up our verified record for this league.

View our full verified track record →  |  Full match preview →

What the market itself rates likely

Taken from bookmaker prices with the margin still inside. These are the bookmakers' own numbers, not our model, and no record of ours stands behind them. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 2.5 goals 74% best 1.36 William Hill
  • Over 1.5 goals 62% best 1.67 Casumo