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Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
The key duel: Sandefjord's attack against Fredrikstad FK's back line.
Fredrikstad FK welcome Sandefjord in the Eliteserien. We've crunched the numbers. Here's our preview.
O. Øhlenschlæger has been Fredrikstad FK's spearhead, with 2 goals and 1 assists in 13 appearances, averaging 0.46 shots on target per game. E. Patoulidis has been Sandefjord's main threat, with 3 goals and 0 assists in 14 appearances, averaging 0.71 shots on target per game.
Sandefjord could be in for a similar cool-off. 1.8 goals a game against chance quality worth only 1.5. Hot finishing has been covering for the fact they aren't creating that much.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Fredrikstad FK create chances worth 1.1 a game (and give up chances worth 1.6), leaving them -0.5 a game on the balance. Sandefjord create 1.5 (giving up 1.5) for a balance of 0.0. On the quality of chances, Sandefjord look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Sandefjord are also scoring more than their chances suggest (1.8 goals vs chance quality of 1.5). Both runs could cool off at once.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Fredrikstad FK are scoring 1.0 a game (1.0 of those at home) and Sandefjord manage 1.8 (1.6 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 59%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line.
Sandefjord have goals in them (1.8 per game) but their record at the back (1.4 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Fredrikstad FK Win | @2.30 | 37.7% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.25 | 22.6% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Sandefjord Win | @2.90 | 37.7% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.73 | 58.6% | William Hill |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.00 | 41.4% | William Hill |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
The bookmakers make Draw likely the favourite here. This league is new to our model, so we show the odds and an early read rather than a rated pick until we have built a verified record.
Best available odds: Fredrikstad FK @ 2.30, Draw @ 3.25, Sandefjord @ 2.90. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Fredrikstad FK vs Sandefjord kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 15:00 in the Eliteserien.