Ajax v ADO Den Haag bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
No record in this league yet, the market's prices only-
1.29 +Ajax77% the model
2nd vs 17th. Ajax unbeaten in 5 at home. Visitors poor away. The market prices this at 80%; the model's own number is 77%, from its record in this market
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1.69 +
Over 2.5 Goals
59% the modelAvg 3.6 goals/game expected.
Built from the bookmakers' prices for Ajax v ADO Den Haag, 46% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.
Alternative picks
- Ajax (first half) First Half 65% 1.48 +
- Under 4.5 Goals 63% 1.52 +
- Over 3.5 Goals 58% 1.71 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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D. Klaassen AjaxShots on target 1+
D. Klaassen: 1.13 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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O. Gloukh AjaxShots on target 1+
O. Gloukh: 1.09 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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J. Brandt AjaxShots on target 1+
J. Brandt: 0.83 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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A. Ouazane AjaxShots on target 1+
A. Ouazane: 0.82 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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O. Wijndal AjaxShots on target 1+
O. Wijndal: 0.71 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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J. Mokio AjaxShots on target 1+
J. Mokio: 0.45 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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E. Rottier ADO Den HaagShots on target 1+
E. Rottier: 0.55 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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E. Rottier ADO Den HaagAnytime assist
E. Rottier on 0.45 assists/match (11 apps, 16 key passes), match xG 2.77
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D. Klaassen AjaxShots on target 2+
D. Klaassen: 1.13 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Under 3 second half goals 84% market Marathon Bet1.19 +
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Ajax over 2 goals 84% market Marathon Bet1.19 +
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ADO Den Haag under 1.5 goals 83% market Bet3651.20 +
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Under 5 goals 82% market 1xBet1.27 +
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Over 1 first half goals 82% market Marathon Bet1.22 +
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Over 2.5 goals 81% market Bet3651.28 +
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Ajax under 4 goals 79% market Marathon Bet1.27 +
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Under 2.5 first half goals 78% market Bet3651.28 +
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Over 3 goals 75% market 1xBet1.39 +
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Ajax to win the second half 74% market Bet3651.40 +
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ADO Den Haag under 1 goals 71% market 1xBet1.49 +
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Over 1.5 second half goals 69% market Bet3651.50 +
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.