Accrington ST crestNorthampton crest

Accrington Stanley v Northampton bet builder

Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:00 · League Two

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Accrington Stanley or draw

    75% the model

    Record this market has landed 82% across 299 graded picks

    Our board prices this at 75%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.34 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    76% the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 118 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.

    1.31 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 57% chance all land
1.76

The model puts this 2-leg build at 57% combined for Accrington Stanley v Northampton. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 75% 1.34 +
  • Northampton or Draw Double Chance 63% 1.60 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • C. Caton Accrington Stanley
    Shots on target 1+

    C. Caton: 1.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Woods Accrington Stanley
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Woods: 1.00 shots on target a game over 12 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • C. Caton Accrington Stanley
    Shots on target 2+

    C. Caton: 1.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • T. Walton Accrington Stanley
    Shots on target 1+

    T. Walton: 0.55 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Woods Accrington Stanley
    Anytime scorer

    J. Woods: 0.58 goals a game over 12 games, home against a side conceding 0.70 a game

  • Matthew Warhurst Northampton
    Shots on target 1+

    Matthew Warhurst: 0.50 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Stefan Mols Accrington Stanley
    Shots on target 1+

    Stefan Mols: 0.40 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 2 second half goals 85% market Marathon Bet
    1.18 +
  • Accrington Stanley under 2 goals 85% market Marathon Bet
    1.18 +
  • Accrington Stanley under 6.5 corners 85% market 1xBet
    1.18 +
  • Northampton under 6 corners 84% market 1xBet
    1.19 +
  • Under 3.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Over 0.5 second half goals 81% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Accrington Stanley over 0.5 goals 81% market Bet365
    1.30 +
  • Over 7.5 corners 81% market 1xBet
    1.27 +
  • Accrington Stanley or Draw (double chance) 80% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Accrington Stanley or Northampton (double chance) 80% market William Hill
    1.36 +
  • Under 11.5 corners 80% market Betano
    1.36 +
  • Accrington Stanley under 6 corners 80% market 1xBet
    1.25 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.