Aberdeen v St Mirren bet builder

Saturday 17 October 2026, 15:00 · Scottish Premiership

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

  • Aberdeen or Draw

    the model's number, for members
    1.29 +
  • The call and the price are free on every leg. The model's number and the desk's reason on each are in FBB Pro, seven days for £1, with the combined price and the chance the whole build lands.

  • Over 1.5 Goals
Combined fair oddsThe model's combined price on this build, and the chance every leg lands. Seven days for £1.
 Join FBB Pro

Alternative picks

  • Under 3.5 Goals 1.36 +
  • St Mirren or Draw Double Chance 1.92 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • K. Nisbet Aberdeen
    Shots on target 1+

    K. Nisbet: 0.71 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Eseosa Sule St Mirren
    Shots on target 1+

    Eseosa Sule: 0.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 11.5 Match Corners 55%
    Corners: Aberdeen avg 4.9 for/7.1 against, St Mirren avg 5.4 for/6.9 against so expected 12.1 match corners
  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 77%
    Corners: Aberdeen avg 4.9 for/7.1 against, St Mirren avg 5.4 for/6.9 against so expected 12.1 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards 68%
    Cards: Aberdeen avg 3.4/game, St Mirren avg 2.4/game so expected 5.8 match cards
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Aberdeen avg 3.4/game, St Mirren avg 2.4/game so expected 5.8 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 51%
    Fouls: Aberdeen avg 12.0/game, St Mirren avg 12.8/game so expected 24.8 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Aberdeen avg 12.0/game, St Mirren avg 12.8/game so expected 24.8 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Shots 44%
    Shots: Aberdeen avg 9.9/game, St Mirren avg 14.0/game so expected 23.9 match shots
  • Over 20.5 Match Shots 75%
    Shots: Aberdeen avg 9.9/game, St Mirren avg 14.0/game so expected 23.9 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 2.5 second half goals 85% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Aberdeen or Draw (double chance) 83% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Aberdeen under 2.5 goals 81% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Aberdeen or St Mirren (double chance) 80% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Aberdeen over 1 goals 80% market Marathon Bet
    1.25 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 77% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Under 2 second half goals 76% market Marathon Bet
    1.31 +
  • St Mirren under 1.5 goals 76% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Over 2 goals 75% market Marathon Bet
    1.33 +
  • St Mirren over 0.5 goals 71% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Under 1.5 first half goals 70% market William Hill
    1.44 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

Seven days for £1 then £9.99 a month, or £79.99 a year. Cancel any time.
The pick of the day is free, in full, on days with two or more singles. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.