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The model makes Yeovil Town 41% favourites here. Gateshead carry the 32% upset.
The bookmakers open Yeovil Town at @2.15 for this National League tie, with Gateshead out at @3.25.
The goals side is finely balanced. We make it 51% for three or more. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 50%.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Yeovil Town Win | @2.15 | 40.7% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.10 | 27.4% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Gateshead Win | @3.25 | 31.8% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.70 | 50.2% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @2.05 | 49.8% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.85 | 50.7% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @1.95 | 49.3% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.25 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @3.75 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @3.00 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.36 | - | Bet365 |
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Our model makes Yeovil Town the favourite with a 40.7% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Yeovil Town @ 2.15, Draw @ 3.10, Gateshead @ 3.25. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Yeovil Town vs Gateshead kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 12:30 in the National League.