Viking vs Kristiansund BK Predictions & Odds
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A quality mismatch? Viking (1st, 71 pts) entertain Kristiansund BK (13th, 34 pts). The table positions tell a clear story, but football has a habit of humbling the favourites.
Z. Tripić has been Viking's spearhead, with 6 goals and 14 assists in 16 appearances, averaging 0.75 shots on target per game. L. Alvheim has been Kristiansund BK's main threat, with 6 goals and 0 assists in 16 appearances, averaging 1.00 shots on target per game.
One thing to keep in mind about Viking. They're scoring 2.2 goals per game but the quality of chances they create only works out at 1.8. Scoring that much more than the chances suggest (+1.0), that kind of hot finishing usually cools off, so their results may be flattering their actual play.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Viking create chances worth 1.8 a game (and give up chances worth 1.1), leaving them +0.7 a game on the balance. Kristiansund BK create 1.3 (giving up 2.1) for a balance of -0.8. The underlying numbers clearly favour Viking. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones. Viking are scoring 2.2 goals a game off chances worth just 1.8. That's +1.0 more than the chances suggest: finishing hot. History says this kind of run usually cools off.
Viking average 2.2 goals per game and Kristiansund BK manage 1.2. Combined that's just 3.4. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Viking and Kristiansund BK together create chances worth 3.1 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Viking are all-out attack: 2.2 goals a game, but they leak 1.0 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Kristiansund BK, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Viking Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Kristiansund BK Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Viking vs Kristiansund BK kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 13:30 in the Eliteserien.