Udinese vs Lazio Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
A Serie A clash between two sides separated by just 2 places in the table. Udinese (4th, 1 pts) and Lazio (6th, 0 pts) both have plenty to play for.
The gap in chance quality is clear: Lazio come out at +0.1 a game (chances they create minus chances they give up) compared to -0.3. that's a real edge in the quality of chances.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Udinese create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.5), leaving them -0.3 a game on the balance. Lazio create 1.2 (giving up 1.1) for a balance of +0.1. On the quality of chances, Lazio look the stronger side. they create more and give up less.
Udinese average 1.0 goals per game and Lazio manage 1.5. Combined that's just 2.5. We make it only 14% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Both teams scoring is a long shot at 29%, mainly because Lazio fail to score in 45% of their games, which drags the number right down.
Clean sheets are a feature here. Both teams score in only 37% of Udinese's home games and 16% of Lazio's away fixtures.
The stakes are high for Udinese at this stage of the season. Their fans will expect a performance, and the home support will be vocal in driving them on. Lazio face a tough afternoon.
Both sides are in the hunt for a top-four finish. Udinese (4th) and Lazio (6th) know this is must-win territory. A defeat here would be a real blow to their European hopes.
In the last 10 meetings: Udinese have won 2, Lazio 3, with 5 draws. These fixtures average 2.3 goals per game. 4 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: Lazio 3-3 Udinese, Udinese 1-1 Lazio, Lazio 1-1 Udinese, Udinese 2-1 Lazio.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13%) and 1-0 (10%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Udinese Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Lazio Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Udinese vs Lazio kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 19:45 in the Serie A.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.