St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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The key duel: Houston Dynamo's attack against St. Louis City's back line.
A MLS fixture between St. Louis City and Houston Dynamo. Here's what the numbers and form tell us ahead of kick-off.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. St. Louis City will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Houston Dynamo travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Houston Dynamo have been outstanding on the road recently. Their away form is significantly better than their season average.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
St. Louis City create chances worth 2.0 a game (and give up chances worth 1.8), leaving them +0.2 a game on the balance. Houston Dynamo create 1.6 (giving up 1.9) for a balance of -0.3. The underlying numbers clearly favour St. Louis City. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. St. Louis City average 1.6 goals per game and Houston Dynamo manage 1.3. Combined that's just 2.9. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. St. Louis City and Houston Dynamo together create chances worth 3.6 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | St. Louis City Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Houston Dynamo Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 01:30 in the MLS.