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0% against 0%: the model can barely split Sirius and BK Hacken.
A Allsvenskan clash between two sides separated by just 1 place in the table. Sirius (9th, 39 pts) and BK Hacken (10th, 35 pts) both have plenty to play for.
Sirius will be looking to make home advantage count (W7 D2 L6 at home). BK Hacken's away record reads W5 D4 L6. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Sirius's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf. BK Hacken are creating better chances than their goal return suggests (chance quality of 2.1 against 1.4 actual goals). They look due a few more. Sirius have been even sharper lately. The chances they create are worth 2.6 a game over their last 5 compared to a season average of 2.3. They're creating more as the season goes on.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Sirius create chances worth 2.3 a game (and give up chances worth 1.2), leaving them +1.1 a game on the balance. BK Hacken create 2.1 (giving up 1.9) for a balance of +0.2. The underlying numbers clearly favour Sirius. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones. BK Hacken are creating chances worth 2.1 a game but only finishing 1.4. the underlying performance is better than the results show. Sirius are trending upwards. Their chances are worth 2.6 a game over the last 5 vs 2.3 for the season. They're in a real attacking groove.
Sirius average 1.8 goals per game and BK Hacken manage 1.4. Combined that's just 3.2. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Sirius and BK Hacken together create chances worth 4.4 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Neither side has much to play for in the grand scheme. no European places within reach and relegation isn't a concern. That can make for an unpredictable game with less pressure on both sides.
Sirius are all-out attack: 1.8 goals a game, but they leak 1.7 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at BK Hacken, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Sirius Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | BK Hacken Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Sirius vs BK Hacken kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 18:00 in the Allsvenskan.