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0% against 0%: the model can barely split Orgryte IS and Halmstad.
Orgryte IS have taken 7 points from their last five; Halmstad are winless in their last five. The momentum is with the hosts going into this Allsvenskan tie.
Orgryte IS will be looking to make home advantage count (W1 D0 L0 at home). Halmstad's away record reads W5 D2 L8. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Crucially, Orgryte IS are in strong home form while Halmstad are struggling away from home. the venue factor amplifies the form gap. One thing to keep in mind about Orgryte IS. They're scoring 1.5 goals per game but the quality of chances they create only works out at 1.2. Scoring that much more than the chances suggest (+1.8), that kind of hot finishing usually cools off, so their results may be flattering their actual play. Halmstad are creating better chances than their goal return suggests (chance quality of 1.5 against 0.8 actual goals). They look due a few more.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Orgryte IS create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 2.6), leaving them -1.4 a game on the balance. Halmstad create 1.5 (giving up 1.3) for a balance of +0.2. On the quality of chances, Halmstad look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Orgryte IS are scoring 1.5 goals a game off chances worth just 1.2. That's +1.8 more than the chances suggest: finishing hot. History says this kind of run usually cools off. Halmstad are creating chances worth 1.5 a game but only finishing 0.8. the underlying performance is better than the results show.
Orgryte IS average 1.5 goals per game and Halmstad manage 0.8. Combined that's just 2.3. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Orgryte IS Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Halmstad Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Orgryte IS vs Halmstad kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 14:00 in the Allsvenskan.