Sevilla vs Valencia Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Sevilla (5th, 6 pts) are firmly in the top six and host a Valencia side (17th, 1 pts) languishing in the bottom half. On paper, this looks comfortable.
Valencia have been outstanding on the road recently. Their away form is significantly better than their season average. Season-long, Sevilla average 2.0 points per game compared to Valencia's 0.3. that gap in consistency is hard to ignore.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Sevilla create chances worth 0.9 a game (and give up chances worth 1.0), leaving them -0.1 a game on the balance. Valencia create 1.4 (giving up 1.2) for a balance of +0.2. On the quality of chances, Valencia look the stronger side. they create more and give up less.
Sevilla average 2.0 goals per game and Valencia manage 0.3. Combined that's just 2.3. We make it only 43% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 43%.
Both teams score in 58% of Sevilla's home games and 47% of Valencia's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Valencia travel here with relegation breathing down their neck. At 17th, they can't afford to drop many more points.
Sevilla are all-out attack: 2.0 goals a game, but they leak 1.7 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Valencia, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
In the last 10 meetings: Sevilla have won 2, Valencia 3, with 5 draws. These fixtures average 2.0 goals per game. 2 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Sevilla 0-2 Valencia, Valencia 1-1 Sevilla, Valencia 1-0 Sevilla, Sevilla 1-1 Valencia.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (12%) and 1-1 (12%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Sevilla Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Valencia Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Sevilla vs Valencia kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 20:00 in the La Liga.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 43.0% probability.