Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam Predictions & Odds
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Form, fitness, fine margins. Sarpsborg 08 FF and Ham-Kam meet in a fixture that could swing either way.
Sarpsborg 08 FF welcome Ham-Kam in the Eliteserien. We've crunched the numbers. Here's our preview.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Sarpsborg 08 FF will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Ham-Kam travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Too close to call with any conviction. Sarpsborg 08 FF edge it at 0% but a draw (0%) is just as likely. One to tread carefully with.
The bookmakers have priced this match fairly. Our model doesn't see a big edge in the match result market.
A concern for Ham-Kam: they're giving up chances worth 2.0 a game over their last 5 (vs 1.6 for the season). The defence is creaking.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Sarpsborg 08 FF create chances worth 1.7 a game (and give up chances worth 2.4), leaving them -0.8 a game on the balance. Ham-Kam create 1.5 (giving up 1.6) for a balance of 0.0. On the quality of chances, Ham-Kam look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. A worry for Sarpsborg 08 FF: the chances they're creating lately are worth 1.2 a game, well below their 1.7 season figure. The attacking output has dipped. Ham-Kam's defence is giving up chances. Worth 2.0 a game over their last 5 vs 1.6 for the season. They're becoming easier to break down.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Sarpsborg 08 FF average 1.6 goals per game and Ham-Kam manage 0.0. Combined that's just 1.6. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Sarpsborg 08 FF and Ham-Kam together create chances worth 3.2 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Ham-Kam prefer to keep things tight (0.0 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Sarpsborg 08 FF against this setup.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Sarpsborg 08 FF Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Ham-Kam Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 16:00 in the Eliteserien.