Aalesund vs Viking Predictions & Odds
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Form, fitness, fine margins. Aalesund and Viking meet in a fixture that could swing either way.
Aalesund welcome Viking in the Eliteserien. We've crunched the numbers. Here's our preview.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Aalesund will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Viking travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Too close to call with any conviction. Aalesund edge it at 0% but a draw (0%) is just as likely. One to tread carefully with.
The bookmakers have priced this match fairly. Our model doesn't see a big edge in the match result market.
Aalesund's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf. Both sides are prolific in front of goal. Aalesund average 2.0 per game and Viking chip in with 2.7. Expect an open, attacking contest. Viking could be in for a similar cool-off. 2.7 goals a game against chance quality worth only 1.8. Hot finishing has been covering for the fact they aren't creating that much.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Aalesund create chances worth 0.8 a game (and give up chances worth 1.5), leaving them -0.8 a game on the balance. Viking create 1.8 (giving up 1.1) for a balance of +0.7. On the quality of chances, Viking look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Viking are also scoring more than their chances suggest (2.7 goals vs chance quality of 1.8). Both runs could cool off at once.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Aalesund average 2.0 goals per game and Viking manage 2.7. Combined that's just 4.7. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Aalesund are in great shape right now, banging in 2.0 a game and only letting in 0.5. They're strong at both ends, so they tend to boss games and don't give much away at the back. Viking are similarly well-balanced. 2.7 scored, 0.9 conceded per game. This has the makings of a tight, tactical game between two organised sides. Both sides keep clean sheets regularly. This could be a tight, low-block affair where the first goal is decisive.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Aalesund Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Viking Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Aalesund vs Viking kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 18:15 in the Eliteserien.