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A test of nerve as much as quality when Sandefjord welcome Bodo/Glimt.
Sandefjord take on Bodo/Glimt in the Eliteserien. Let's break down what our data says about this one.
S. Fet has been Bodo/Glimt's main threat, with 4 goals and 1 assists in 12 appearances, averaging 0.75 shots on target per game.
Marginal call: Sandefjord at just 0%. With the draw at 0%, this is anyone's game. You could make a case for Sandefjord, but there's a lot to be said for playing it safe.
The bookmakers have priced this match fairly. Our model doesn't see a big edge in the match result market.
One thing to keep in mind about Sandefjord. They're scoring 1.8 goals per game but the quality of chances they create only works out at 1.5. Scoring that much more than the chances suggest (+0.4), that kind of hot finishing usually cools off, so their results may be flattering their actual play. Sandefjord have been even sharper lately. The chances they create are worth 1.9 a game over their last 5 compared to a season average of 1.5. They're creating more as the season goes on.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Sandefjord create chances worth 1.5 a game (and give up chances worth 1.5), leaving them 0.0 a game on the balance. Bodo/Glimt create 2.9 (giving up 1.1) for a balance of +1.8. On the quality of chances, Bodo/Glimt look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Sandefjord are scoring 1.8 goals a game off chances worth just 1.5. That's +0.4 more than the chances suggest: finishing hot. History says this kind of run usually cools off. Sandefjord are trending upwards. Their chances are worth 1.9 a game over the last 5 vs 1.5 for the season. They're in a real attacking groove.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Sandefjord average 1.8 goals per game and Bodo/Glimt manage 2.5. Combined that's just 4.3. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Sandefjord and Bodo/Glimt together create chances worth 4.4 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Sandefjord are all-out attack: 1.8 goals a game, but they leak 1.4 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Bodo/Glimt, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. Bodo/Glimt have goals in them (2.5 per game) but their record at the back (0.9 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Sandefjord Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Bodo/Glimt Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 16:00 in the Eliteserien.