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The model makes Raith Rovers 44% favourites here. Ayr Utd carry the 28% upset.
The bookmakers open Raith Rovers at @1.95 for this Scottish Championship tie, with Ayr Utd out at @3.90.
The goals side is finely balanced. We make it 42% for three or more. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 45%.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Raith Rovers Win | @1.95 | 43.8% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.10 | 27.8% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Ayr Utd Win | @3.90 | 28.4% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.85 | 45.4% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @1.85 | 54.6% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @2.08 | 42.4% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @1.75 | 57.6% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.33 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @3.25 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @3.75 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.27 | - | Bet365 |
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Our model makes Raith Rovers the favourite with a 43.8% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Raith Rovers @ 1.95, Draw @ 3.10, Ayr Utd @ 3.90. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 in the Scottish Championship.