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Parma have lost three of their last five; Monza have won three of their last six. Form gives little away going into this Serie A tie.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Parma are scoring 0.8 a game (0.8 of those at home) and Monza manage 2.2 (2.2 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 50%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Both teams scoring is unlikely here (29%).
Both teams score in 47% of Parma's home games and 50% of Monza's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Monza have goals in them (2.2 per game) but their record at the back (1.8 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 4 meetings: Parma have won 1, Monza 0, with 3 draws. These fixtures average 1.8 goals per game. 1 of the last 4 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: Monza 1-1 Parma, Parma 2-1 Monza, Monza 1-1 Parma, Parma 0-0 Monza.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%) and 1-2 (9%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Parma Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Monza Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Parma vs Monza kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:00 in the Serie A.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.