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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Bologna have taken 8 points from their last five; Sassuolo have lost three in a row. The momentum is with the hosts going into this Serie A tie.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Bologna create chances worth 1.1 a game (and give up chances worth 1.2), leaving them -0.1 a game on the balance. Sassuolo create 1.2 (giving up 1.4) for a balance of -0.2. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
Bologna average 1.4 goals per game and Sassuolo manage 1.0. Combined that's just 2.4. We make it 50% for three or more, so there's no strong lean on the goals line. Both teams scoring is unlikely here (29%).
Both teams score in 32% of Bologna's home games and 58% of Sassuolo's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
In the last 10 meetings: Bologna have won 4, Sassuolo 2, with 4 draws. These fixtures average 3.2 goals per game. 5 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: Sassuolo 0-1 Bologna, Bologna 1-1 Sassuolo, Bologna 4-2 Sassuolo, Sassuolo 1-1 Bologna.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13%) and 1-0 (11%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Bologna Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Sassuolo Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Bologna vs Sassuolo kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 17:00 in the Serie A.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.