Osasuna vs Espanyol Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
There's barely anything between these two. Osasuna (7th, 4 pts) and Espanyol (10th, 3 pts) meet in a fixture that could shape the La Liga table.
Osasuna will be looking to make home advantage count (W0 D1 L0 at home). Espanyol's away record reads W0 D0 L1. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Season-long, Osasuna average 2.0 points per game compared to Espanyol's 1.0. that gap in consistency is hard to ignore. The gap in chance quality is clear: Osasuna come out at +0.3 a game (chances they create minus chances they give up) compared to -0.4. that's a real edge in the quality of chances.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Osasuna create chances worth 1.3 a game (and give up chances worth 1.1), leaving them +0.3 a game on the balance. Espanyol create 1.1 (giving up 1.6) for a balance of -0.4. The underlying numbers clearly favour Osasuna. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Osasuna are scoring 1.0 a game (0.0 of those at home) and Espanyol manage 1.7 (1.0 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 40%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 49%.
Both teams scoring is the pattern. It happens in 74% of Osasuna's home games and 63% of Espanyol's away matches.
Osasuna do it the hard way: only 1.0 a game up top, but a mean 0.5 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break.
In the last 10 meetings: Osasuna have won 4, Espanyol 2, with 4 draws. These fixtures average 1.4 goals per game. 1 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Osasuna 1-2 Espanyol, Espanyol 1-0 Osasuna, Osasuna 2-0 Espanyol, Espanyol 0-0 Osasuna.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13%) and 1-0 (12%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Osasuna Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Espanyol Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Osasuna vs Espanyol kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 16:00 in the La Liga.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 48.6% probability.