Orgryte IS vs Sirius Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Orgryte IS have lost three of their last five; Sirius have lost their last two. Form gives little away going into this Allsvenskan tie.
N. Christoffersson has been Orgryte IS's spearhead, with 8 goals and 1 assists in 18 appearances, averaging 0.94 shots on target per game. R. Ure has been Sirius's main threat, with 15 goals and 2 assists in 15 appearances, averaging 1.53 shots on target per game.
Orgryte IS's home record this season is formidable. W1 D0 L0 from 1, scoring 3.0 goals per game at home. Sirius, by contrast, have struggled on the road (W4 D4 L7 from 15 away). That imbalance is hard to ignore. Orgryte IS's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf. One thing to keep in mind about Orgryte IS. They're scoring 1.5 goals per game but the quality of chances they create only works out at 1.2. Scoring that much more than the chances suggest (+1.8), that kind of hot finishing usually cools off, so their results may be flattering their actual play.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Orgryte IS create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 2.6), leaving them -1.4 a game on the balance. Sirius create 2.3 (giving up 1.2) for a balance of +1.1. On the quality of chances, Sirius look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Orgryte IS are scoring 1.5 goals a game off chances worth just 1.2. That's +1.8 more than the chances suggest: finishing hot. History says this kind of run usually cools off.
Orgryte IS average 1.5 goals per game and Sirius manage 1.8. Combined that's just 3.3. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Orgryte IS and Sirius together create chances worth 3.5 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Sirius have goals in them (1.8 per game) but their record at the back (1.7 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Orgryte IS Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Sirius Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Orgryte IS vs Sirius kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 16:30 in the Allsvenskan.