01The read
Analysing OFI vs CSKA Sofia: Who Wins?
OFI have failed to score in 75% of their games, and now the model gives CSKA Sofia a 38% chance on the road.
The bookmakers open OFI at @2.49 for this Europa League tie, with CSKA Sofia out at @3.00.
Key facts
🧤
Defensive Wall
OFI keep clean sheets in 50% of games. One of the tightest defences around
😶
Blunt Attack
OFI fail to score in 75% of their games. Creating chances has been a real problem
▸ Form & goals
OFI average 0.5 goals per game and CSKA Sofia manage 0.0. Combined that's just 0.5. We make it 51% for three or more, so there's no strong lean on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 52%.
▸ Team news & context
European nights carry a magic all of their own. The anthem, the spotlight, the occasion. Both sets of players will be desperate to deliver under the continental floodlights.
OFI do it the hard way: only 0.5 a game up top, but a mean 0.5 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break. CSKA Sofia prefer to keep things tight (0.0 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for OFI against this setup.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
If you like OFI but want a bit of cover, the Home/Draw double chance at @1.57 , which pays out if OFI win or draw, covers 73% of the outcomes. Most likely scorelines: 0-0 (55%) and 0-1 (17%).
First Half Result
-
OFI HT
3.05
-
Draw HT
2.10
-
CSKA Sofia HT
3.55
Latest News
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Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
OFI vs CSKA Sofia Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
OFI Win |
@2.49
|
44.3% |
1xBet |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@3.58
|
28.4% |
1xBet |
| Match Result |
CSKA Sofia Win |
@3.00
|
38.0% |
Dafabet |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.67
|
52.1% |
Betano |
| BTTS |
No |
@2.15
|
47.9% |
Betano |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.94
|
50.7% |
1xBet |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@1.94
|
49.3% |
1xBet |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.31
|
- |
Betano |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@3.60
|
- |
Betano |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@3.20
|
- |
1xBet |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.38
|
- |
1xBet |
05The numbers
OFI vs CSKA Sofia Team Stats
OFI
Played
4
Record
1W-2D-1L
Goals F/A
2/2
Avg Goals Scored
0.50
Home Record
0W-2D-0L
CSKA Sofia
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
0-0
54.9%
0-1
16.5%
1-0
16.5%
1-1
4.9%
0-2
2.5%
2-0
2.5%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles 9 priced markets
-
OFI over 0.5 goals
82%
@1.27
Betano
-
Over 0.5 second half goals
81%
@1.24
Betano
-
Over 1.5 goals
80%
@1.31
Betano
-
CSKA Sofia over 0.5 goals
78%
@1.33
Betano
-
Under 3.5 goals
77%
@1.38
10Bet
-
OFI or CSKA Sofia (double chance)
77%
@1.32
1xBet
-
Over 0.5 first half goals
75%
@1.45
Betano
-
OFI or Draw (double chance)
72%
@1.46
1xBet
-
Under 1.5 first half goals
71%
@1.42
10Bet
Build a slip from these markets →