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Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
All eyes on New England Revolution as New York City FC travel to face New England Revolution.
A MLS fixture between New England Revolution and New York City FC. Here's what the numbers and form tell us ahead of kick-off.
Carles Gil has been New England Revolution's spearhead, with 7 goals and 3 assists in 17 appearances, averaging 0.82 shots on target per game. N. Fernández Mercau has been New York City FC's main threat, with 13 goals and 3 assists in 18 appearances, averaging 1.56 shots on target per game.
Both sets of fans can dream here: this is two in-form sides on a collision course. New England Revolution come in on a D-W-D-L-W run, New York City FC have gone D-W-W-L-D, and neither will fear the other. When form meets form like this, something has to give, and whichever way it breaks, it should be a proper occasion. New England Revolution's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
New England Revolution create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them -0.2 a game on the balance. New York City FC create 0.9 (giving up 1.4) for a balance of -0.5. The underlying numbers clearly favour New England Revolution. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones. A worry for New England Revolution: the chances they're creating lately are worth 0.8 a game, well below their 1.2 season figure. The attacking output has dipped.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. New England Revolution average 1.3 goals per game and New York City FC manage 1.4. Combined that's just 2.7. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | New England Revolution Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | New York City FC Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
New England Revolution vs New York City FC kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 21:30 in the MLS.