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Nashville SC have won three of their last five; FC Cincinnati have won three of their last five. Form gives little away going into this MLS tie.
Both sets of fans can dream here: this is two in-form sides on a collision course. Nashville SC come in on a D-L-W-W-W run, FC Cincinnati have gone W-L-W-W-D, and neither will fear the other. When form meets form like this, something has to give, and whichever way it breaks, it should be a proper occasion. Nashville SC's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Nashville SC create chances worth 1.8 a game (and give up chances worth 1.7), leaving them +0.1 a game on the balance. FC Cincinnati create 1.4 (giving up 1.9) for a balance of -0.6. The underlying numbers clearly favour Nashville SC. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones.
Nashville SC average 1.6 goals per game and FC Cincinnati manage 1.4. Combined that's just 3.0. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Nashville SC and FC Cincinnati together create chances worth 3.1 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Nashville SC Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | FC Cincinnati Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 01:30 in the MLS.