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Form, fitness, fine margins. Nashville SC and Columbus Crew meet in a fixture that could swing either way.
A MLS fixture between Nashville SC and Columbus Crew. Here's what the numbers and form tell us ahead of kick-off.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Nashville SC will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Columbus Crew travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Both sets of fans can dream here: this is two in-form sides on a collision course. Nashville SC come in on a D-L-W-W-W run, Columbus Crew have gone D-W-L-W-D, and neither will fear the other. When form meets form like this, something has to give, and whichever way it breaks, it should be a proper occasion. Nashville SC's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Nashville SC create chances worth 1.8 a game (and give up chances worth 1.7), leaving them +0.1 a game on the balance. Columbus Crew create 1.6 (giving up 1.2) for a balance of +0.4. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Nashville SC average 1.6 goals per game and Columbus Crew manage 1.6. Combined that's just 3.2. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Nashville SC and Columbus Crew together create chances worth 3.3 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Nashville SC Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Columbus Crew Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 01:30 in the MLS.