Molde vs Aalesund Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Molde have won three of their last five; Aalesund are winless in their last five. The momentum is with the hosts going into this Eliteserien tie.
E. Breivik has been Molde's spearhead, with 7 goals and 6 assists in 18 appearances, averaging 0.89 shots on target per game. M. Christensen has been Aalesund's main threat, with 6 goals and 2 assists in 6 appearances, averaging 2.33 shots on target per game.
Aalesund are no pushovers away from home. W1 D0 L0 from 1 away trips, scoring 4.0 per game on the road. Molde (W8 D1 L6 at home) can't afford to take this lightly. Molde's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Molde create chances worth 2.0 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them +0.6 a game on the balance. Aalesund create 0.8 (giving up 1.5) for a balance of -0.8. The underlying numbers clearly favour Molde. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones.
Molde average 1.5 goals per game and Aalesund manage 2.0. Combined that's just 3.5. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Aalesund are similarly well-balanced. 2.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. This has the makings of a tight, tactical game between two organised sides.
In the last 7 meetings: Molde have won 5, Aalesund 1, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 3.4 goals per game. 6 of the last 7 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Aalesund 2-2 Molde, Molde 4-1 Aalesund, Aalesund 3-1 Molde.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Molde Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Aalesund Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Molde vs Aalesund kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 17:00 in the Eliteserien.