Mirassol vs Remo Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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The key duel: Remo's attack against Mirassol's back line.
Mirassol welcome Remo in the Brasileirão Série A. We've crunched the numbers. Here's our preview.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Mirassol will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Remo travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Marginal call: Mirassol at just 0%. With the draw at 0%, this is anyone's game. You could make a case for Mirassol, but there's a lot to be said for playing it safe.
The bookmakers have priced this match fairly. Our model doesn't see a big edge in the match result market.
A concern for Remo: they're giving up chances worth 1.8 a game over their last 5 (vs 1.3 for the season). The defence is creaking.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Mirassol create chances worth 1.5 a game (and give up chances worth 1.2), leaving them +0.3 a game on the balance. Remo create 0.7 (giving up 1.3) for a balance of -0.5. The underlying numbers clearly favour Mirassol. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones. Remo's defence is giving up chances. Worth 1.8 a game over their last 5 vs 1.3 for the season. They're becoming easier to break down.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Mirassol average 1.7 goals per game and Remo manage 1.1. Combined that's just 2.8. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Mirassol Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Remo Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Mirassol vs Remo kicks off on Wednesday 29 July 2026 at 23:30 in the Brasileirão Série A.