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Form, fitness, fine margins. Chapecoense-sc and Vasco DA Gama meet in a fixture that could swing either way.
Chapecoense-sc welcome Vasco DA Gama in the Brasileirão Série A. We've crunched the numbers. Here's our preview.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Chapecoense-sc will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Vasco DA Gama travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Marginal call: Chapecoense-sc at just 0%. With the draw at 0%, this is anyone's game. You could make a case for Chapecoense-sc, but there's a lot to be said for playing it safe.
The bookmakers have priced this match fairly. Our model doesn't see a big edge in the match result market.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Chapecoense-sc average 0.8 goals per game and Vasco DA Gama manage 1.4. Combined that's just 2.2. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Chapecoense-sc Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Vasco DA Gama Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama kicks off on Wednesday 29 July 2026 at 21:00 in the Brasileirão Série A.