Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm Predictions & Odds
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There's barely anything between these two. Malmo FF (6th, 49 pts) and AIK Stockholm (7th, 48 pts) meet in a fixture that could shape the Allsvenskan table.
E. Botheim has been Malmo FF's spearhead, with 10 goals and 3 assists in 17 appearances, averaging 0.88 shots on target per game. J. Hove has been AIK Stockholm's main threat, with 5 goals and 1 assists in 15 appearances, averaging 0.87 shots on target per game.
Malmo FF will be looking to make home advantage count (W7 D4 L4 at home). AIK Stockholm's away record reads W6 D3 L6. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Interestingly, Malmo FF have been poor at home recently while AIK Stockholm travel well. the visitors' away form is superior to the hosts' home record. A concern for AIK Stockholm: they're giving up chances worth 1.7 a game over their last 5 (vs 1.4 for the season). The defence is creaking.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Malmo FF create chances worth 1.6 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them +0.2 a game on the balance. AIK Stockholm create 1.4 (giving up 1.4) for a balance of 0.0. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath. AIK Stockholm's defence is giving up chances. Worth 1.7 a game over their last 5 vs 1.4 for the season. They're becoming easier to break down.
Malmo FF average 1.5 goals per game and AIK Stockholm manage 1.3. Combined that's just 2.8. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Both sides are in the chasing pack. Malmo FF (6th) and AIK Stockholm (7th) are still in touch with the playoff places, and a result here matters.
In the last 10 meetings: Malmo FF have won 5, AIK Stockholm 1, with 4 draws. These fixtures average 2.0 goals per game. 4 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: AIK Stockholm 0-1 Malmo FF, Malmo FF 0-0 AIK Stockholm, AIK Stockholm 0-0 Malmo FF.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Malmo FF Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | AIK Stockholm Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 18:00 in the Allsvenskan.