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Malaga are winless in their last three; Villarreal have taken five points from their last five. Form gives little away going into this La Liga tie.
Malaga average 0.3 goals per game and Villarreal manage 1.3. Combined that's just 1.7. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Both teams score in 33% of Malaga's home games and 63% of Villarreal's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
In the last 10 meetings: Malaga have won 2, Villarreal 5, with 3 draws. These fixtures average 1.8 goals per game. 1 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Malaga 1-0 Villarreal, Villarreal 2-0 Malaga, Villarreal 1-1 Malaga, Malaga 0-2 Villarreal.
Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (11%) and 1-1 (11%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Malaga Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Villarreal Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Malaga vs Villarreal kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 20:30 in the La Liga.