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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Fiorentina have taken six points from their last five; Torino have taken five points from their last five. Form gives little away going into this Serie A tie.
The gap in chance quality is clear: Torino come out at +0.3 a game (chances they create minus chances they give up) compared to -0.3. that's a real edge in the quality of chances. A concern for Torino: they're giving up chances worth 1.8 a game over their last 5 (vs 1.4 for the season). The defence is creaking.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Fiorentina create chances worth 1.1 a game (and give up chances worth 1.3), leaving them -0.3 a game on the balance. Torino create 1.6 (giving up 1.4) for a balance of +0.3. On the quality of chances, Torino look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Torino's defence is giving up chances. Worth 1.8 a game over their last 5 vs 1.4 for the season. They're becoming easier to break down.
Fiorentina average 0.6 goals per game and Torino manage 1.4. Combined that's just 2.0. We make it 50% for three or more, so there's no strong lean on the goals line. Both teams scoring is unlikely here (29%).
Both teams score in 63% of Fiorentina's home games and 37% of Torino's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13%) and 0-1 (11%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Fiorentina Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Torino Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Fiorentina vs Torino kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 14:00 in the Serie A.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.