Who is favourite to win FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04?

Our model rates FC Schalke 04 as the favourite with a 42.6% win probability. The full 1X2 split: FC Augsburg 41.6%, draw 25.4%, FC Schalke 04 42.6%.

Where can I watch FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04?

Check official Bundesliga broadcaster listings (Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Premier Sports, BBC, ITV) for live TV coverage. UK streaming details are confirmed by rights holders closer to kickoff.

How many goals are expected in FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04?

Our model gives Over 2.5 goals a 61.7% probability and Under 2.5 goals 38.3%. The lean is towards a high-scoring game.

70% verified · 810 picks Bundesliga Sunday 30 August 2026, 16:30

FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 Predictions & Odds

F FC Augsburg 41.6% @2.15

VS Draw 25.4%

F FC Schalke 04 42.6% @3.00

Our model call Leans FC Schalke 04, but only just A 43% call, draw at 25%.

★★★

Match result modelmarket

FC Augsburg 42% 2.15 Draw 25% 3.50 FC Schalke 04 43% 3.00

Goals modelmarket

Under 2.5 38% 2.36 Over 2.5 62% 1.62 Over 1.5 @1.20

Both teams to score modelmarket

No 46% 2.45 Yes 54% 1.53

30+ rated markets on this game, every leg tracked in public Build this bet →

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03Model vs the market

Our Model vs The Market

Where our probabilities disagree with bookmaker prices.

Market	Our model	Bookies imply	Difference
Both Teams to Score	54.4%	66.7%	12 pts under
FC Schalke 04 Win	42.6%	35.1%	8 pts over
Over 2.5 Goals	61.7%	63.3%	2 pts under

What this means: where our model sits above the bookies is where we see value they don't; below means the market already has it priced, no edge there.

Key Stats

01The read

Neighbours Collide: FC Augsburg and FC Schalke 04 Separated by Fine Margins

Too close to call on the numbers. FC Augsburg 42%, FC Schalke 04 43%, the draw live at 25%.

FC Schalke 04 slight edge (43%) | Three or more goals likely (62%) | Predicted: 1-2 Confidence ★★★★★

FC Augsburg have won three of their last five; FC Schalke 04 have lost their last two. Form gives little away going into this Bundesliga tie.

Our verdict

Marginal call: FC Schalke 04 at just 43%. With the draw at 25%, this is anyone's game. You could make a case for FC Schalke 04, but there's a lot to be said for playing it safe.

Our pick

Our PickThree or more goals at @1.62. Model probability 62% vs implied 62%. Priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.

Model62%

Market62%

Key facts

🤝

Draw Merchants 5 draws from 10 meetings. Stalemates are the pattern here

📉

Cold Run FC Schalke 04 have lost their last 2. Confidence in that dressing room will be low

⚽

Open Games Both teams score in 62% of FC Augsburg's matches. Their games rarely stay quiet

🎯

Goals Lean We make it 62% for three or more goals in this one

▸ Form & goals

Goals look likely here. FC Augsburg average 1.8 per game (1.8 at home) and FC Schalke 04 chip in with 2.3 (2.3 away). Defensively, FC Augsburg concede 1.6 at home and FC Schalke 04 leak 1.5 on the road. We make it 62% for three or more goals. The numbers back it without being overwhelming. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 54%. Two or more goals at @1.20 is a steadier alternative for accas.

Both teams score in 59% of FC Augsburg's home games and 33% of FC Schalke 04's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.

▸ Team news & context

FC Augsburg are all-out attack: 1.8 goals a game, but they leak 1.6 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at FC Schalke 04, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. FC Schalke 04 have goals in them (2.3 per game) but their record at the back (1.5 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.

In the last 10 meetings: FC Augsburg have won 3, FC Schalke 04 2, with 5 draws. These fixtures average 2.7 goals per game. 5 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: FC Augsburg 3-0 FC Schalke 04, FC Augsburg 1-1 FC Schalke 04, FC Schalke 04 2-3 FC Augsburg, FC Augsburg 1-1 FC Schalke 04.

▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half

If you like FC Augsburg but want a bit of cover, the Home/Draw double chance at @1.35 , which pays out if FC Augsburg win or draw, covers 67% of the outcomes. Most likely scorelines: 1-2 (9%) and 2-1 (7%).

First Half Result

FC Augsburg HT 2.60
Draw HT 2.30
FC Schalke 04 HT 3.40

Team Intel

📊 FC Augsburg · xG

For: 1.88/g Against: 2.20/g

💎 Underscoring xG by 0.38/g, value possible

Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market

The complete price grid across all bookmakers.

FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 Odds Comparison

Market	Selection	Odds	Probability	Bookmaker
Match Result	FC Augsburg Win	@2.15	41.6%	William Hill
Match Result	Draw	@3.50	25.4%	William Hill
Match Result	FC Schalke 04 Win	@3.00	42.6%	William Hill
BTTS	Yes	@1.53	54.4%	William Hill
BTTS	No	@2.45	45.6%	William Hill
Goals	Over 2.5	@1.62	61.7%	Bet365
Goals	Under 2.5	@2.36	38.3%	Bet365
Goals	Over 1.5	@1.20	-	Bet365
Goals	Under 1.5	@4.90	-	Bet365
Goals	Over 3.5	@2.62	-	Bet365
Goals	Under 3.5	@1.55	-	Bet365

05The numbers

Recent Form

FC Augsburg

1L streak

Last 5 LWWDW

At home WD

Clean sheets 15% BTTS 62% FTS 26%

FC Schalke 04

2L streak

Last 6 LLWWWW

Clean sheets 33% BTTS 33% FTS 33%

FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 Head to Head

3 Home Wins 5 Draws 2 Away Wins

2.7 Avg Goals

6/10 BTTS

5/10 Over 2.5

2024-10-29 FC Augsburg 3-0 FC Schalke 04

2023-03-18 FC Augsburg 1-1 FC Schalke 04

2022-10-02 FC Augsburg 3-2 FC Schalke 04

2022-07-17 FC Augsburg 1-1 FC Schalke 04

2021-04-11 FC Augsburg 0-1 FC Schalke 04

2020-12-13 FC Augsburg 2-2 FC Schalke 04

2020-05-24 FC Augsburg 3-0 FC Schalke 04

2019-11-03 FC Augsburg 2-3 FC Schalke 04

2019-05-05 FC Augsburg 0-0 FC Schalke 04

2018-12-15 FC Augsburg 1-1 FC Schalke 04

Full FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 head-to-head history →

Most Likely Scorelines

MOST LIKELY 1-2 8.6%

2-1 7.2%

2-2 7.1%

1-3 5.6%

2-3 4.6%

3-1 4.0%

3-2 3.9%

0-3 3.4%

Full Market Breakdown

Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles 12 priced markets

FC Augsburg under 7.5 corners 85% @1.18 Unibet
FC Schalke 04 under 6.5 corners 84% @1.19 Unibet
Under 2 first half goals 83% @1.20 Marathon Bet
Under 12.5 corners 83% @1.20 Unibet
FC Schalke 04 over 2.5 corners 83% @1.20 Unibet
FC Augsburg under 2.5 goals 82% @1.27 Betano
FC Schalke 04 under 2 goals 82% @1.22 Marathon Bet
FC Augsburg or FC Schalke 04 (double chance) 81% @1.31 1xBet
Over 2 goals 81% @1.28 BetVictor
FC Schalke 04 over 0.5 goals 81% @1.27 Pinnacle
Under 4 goals 81% @1.26 Pinnacle
Under 2.5 second half goals 80% @1.31 Betano

Build a slip from these markets →

Build your own bet

Our FC Augsburg v FC Schalke 04 builder

Our model's suggested selections (each one's a "leg"). Tap to build it, then place with your own bookmaker.

1 No Draw 77% @ 1.31
2 Over 1.5 Goals 80% @ 1.25

@1.63 £10 returns £16.32

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The record

70%

verified hit rate across 810 graded picks, every one logged before kick-off.

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FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04: FAQs

Who will win FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04?

Our model makes FC Schalke 04 the favourite with a 42.6% win probability, based on form, head-to-head record and expected goals.

What are the best odds for FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04?

Best available odds: FC Augsburg @ 2.15, Draw @ 3.50, FC Schalke 04 @ 3.00. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.

What time does FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 kick off?

FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 16:30 in the Bundesliga.

Will both teams score in FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04?

Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 54.4% probability.

FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 prediction and betting tips?

Our top prediction is FC Schalke 04 to win. We also rate over/under goals, BTTS, correct score and double chance, every pick is tracked and verified against real outcomes.