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Estrela (15th, 30 pts) face the unenviable task of hosting in-form Famalicao (5th, 56 pts). The gap in quality should tell, but home advantage can be a great leveller.
Estrela average 1.3 goals per game and Famalicao manage 1.2. Combined that's just 2.5. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Famalicao prefer to keep things tight (0.9 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Estrela against this setup.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Estrela Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Famalicao Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Estrela vs Famalicao kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 16:00 in the Primeira Liga.