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Eintracht Frankfurt are winless in their last five; FC Augsburg have won three of their last five. The visitors bring the sharper form into this Bundesliga tie.
FC Augsburg are creating better chances than their goal return suggests (chance quality of 1.9 against 1.8 actual goals). They look due a few more.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Eintracht Frankfurt create chances worth 1.3 a game (and give up chances worth 1.6), leaving them -0.3 a game on the balance. FC Augsburg create 1.9 (giving up 2.2) for a balance of -0.3. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath. FC Augsburg are creating chances worth 1.9 a game but only finishing 1.8. the underlying performance is better than the results show.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Eintracht Frankfurt are scoring 1.4 a game (1.4 of those at home) and FC Augsburg manage 1.8 (1.8 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 50%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Both teams scoring is unlikely here (29%).
Both teams scoring is the pattern. It happens in 100% of Eintracht Frankfurt's home games and 65% of FC Augsburg's away matches.
FC Augsburg have goals in them (1.8 per game) but their record at the back (1.6 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end. Don't underestimate the visitors. FC Augsburg create chances worth 1.9 a game and Eintracht Frankfurt give up chances worth 1.6 at home. The away side could control the ball here.
In the last 10 meetings: Eintracht Frankfurt have won 3, FC Augsburg 1, with 6 draws. These fixtures average 2.1 goals per game. 4 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: FC Augsburg 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt, Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 FC Augsburg, FC Augsburg 0-0 Eintracht Frankfurt, Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 FC Augsburg.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (9%) and 1-2 (9%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Eintracht Frankfurt Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | FC Augsburg Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Full Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg head-to-head history →
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 16:30 in the Bundesliga.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.