Degerfors IF vs Hammarby FF Predictions & Odds
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Tricky away day for Hammarby FF (2nd, 62 pts) as they travel to Degerfors IF (13th, 30 pts), but the visitors' league position tells you they should have more than enough here.
D. Vukojević has been Degerfors IF's spearhead, with 4 goals and 1 assists in 19 appearances, averaging 0.53 shots on target per game. P. Abraham has been Hammarby FF's main threat, with 12 goals and 3 assists in 19 appearances, averaging 1.68 shots on target per game.
Degerfors IF will be looking to make home advantage count (W1 D5 L9 at home). Hammarby FF's away record reads W7 D4 L4. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Hammarby FF could be in for a similar cool-off. 2.0 goals a game against chance quality worth only 1.8. Hot finishing has been covering for the fact they aren't creating that much.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Degerfors IF create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.3), leaving them -0.1 a game on the balance. Hammarby FF create 1.8 (giving up 1.1) for a balance of +0.7. On the quality of chances, Hammarby FF look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Hammarby FF are also scoring more than their chances suggest (2.0 goals vs chance quality of 1.8). Both runs could cool off at once.
Degerfors IF average 1.1 goals per game and Hammarby FF manage 2.0. Combined that's just 3.1. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Degerfors IF and Hammarby FF together create chances worth 3.0 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Hammarby FF have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (1.0 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 9 meetings: Degerfors IF have won 0, Hammarby FF 7, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 3.7 goals per game. 6 of the last 9 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Hammarby FF 4-0 Degerfors IF, Degerfors IF 1-1 Hammarby FF, Hammarby FF 1-0 Degerfors IF.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Degerfors IF Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Hammarby FF Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Degerfors IF vs Hammarby FF kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:30 in the Allsvenskan.