Get the model's verified verdict on Colorado Rapids (and any team you follow) emailed the moment odds drop. Free, no spam, one-click unsubscribe.
Where our probabilities disagree with bookmaker prices.
| Market | Our model | Bookies imply | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids Win | 41.6% | 48.8% | 7 pts under |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66.1% | 70.9% | 5 pts under |
| Both Teams to Score | 70.0% | 73.5% | 4 pts under |
What this means: where our model sits above the bookies is where we see value they don't; below means the market already has it priced, no edge there.
Colorado Rapids arrive as the price says they should win. The question is how comfortably.
Colorado Rapids (11th, 41 pts) host San Diego (1st, 63 pts) in the MLS. Both sides will be targeting three points here.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Colorado Rapids will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while San Diego travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Marginal call: Colorado Rapids at just 42%. With the draw at 23%, this is anyone's game. You could make a case for Colorado Rapids, but there's a lot to be said for playing it safe.
Our PickBoth teams to score at @1.40. Model probability 70% vs implied 71%. priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
This league is new to our model. We have not yet built a verified record here, so treat this as an early read while we track it.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Colorado Rapids average 1.3 goals per game and San Diego manage 0.0. Combined that's just 1.3. We make it only 66% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. There's a good chance both teams find the net, and we make it 70%. Colorado Rapids score in 71% of their games and San Diego in 100%, and neither back line is tight enough to bank on a clean sheet.
San Diego prefer to keep things tight (0.0 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Colorado Rapids against this setup.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Colorado Rapids Win | @2.10 | 41.6% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.60 | 23.3% | William Hill |
| Match Result | San Diego Win | @3.00 | 35.1% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.40 | 70.0% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @2.70 | 30.0% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.44 | 66.1% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.70 | 33.9% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.12 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @6.00 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @2.10 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.72 | - | Bet365 |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model makes Colorado Rapids the favourite with a 41.6% win probability, based on form, head-to-head record and expected goals.
Best available odds: Colorado Rapids @ 2.10, Draw @ 3.60, San Diego @ 3.00. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Colorado Rapids vs San Diego kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 02:30 in the MLS.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 70.0% probability.
Our top prediction is Colorado Rapids to win. We also rate over/under goals, BTTS, correct score and double chance, every pick is tracked and verified against real outcomes.