Burnley vs Bristol City Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Burnley (9th, 1 pts) host Bristol City (24th, 0 pts) in the Championship. Both sides will be targeting three points here.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Burnley create chances worth 0.9 a game (and give up chances worth 2.0), leaving them -1.1 a game on the balance. Bristol City create 1.1 (giving up 1.7) for a balance of -0.6. On the quality of chances, Bristol City look the stronger side. they create more and give up less.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Burnley are scoring 2.0 a game (2.0 of those at home) and Bristol City manage 0.8 (0.8 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 54%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 46%.
Both teams score in 42% of Burnley's home games and 52% of Bristol City's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Bristol City travel here with relegation breathing down their neck. At 24th, they can't afford to drop many more points.
Burnley are all-out attack: 2.0 goals a game, but they leak 2.0 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Bristol City, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
In the last 10 meetings: Burnley have won 9, Bristol City 0, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 3.0 goals per game. 6 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Burnley 1-0 Bristol City, Bristol City 0-1 Burnley, Bristol City 1-2 Burnley.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Burnley Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Bristol City Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Burnley vs Bristol City kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 in the Championship.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 45.5% probability.