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Where our probabilities disagree with bookmaker prices.
| Market | Our model | Bookies imply | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wycombe Wanderers Win | 43.7% | 36.4% | 7 pts over |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51.8% | 57.1% | 5 pts under |
What this means: where our model sits above the bookies is where we see value they don't; below means the market already has it priced, no edge there.
Blackpool know what's at stake, and so do Wycombe Wanderers.
Blackpool take on Wycombe Wanderers in the League One. Let's break down what our data says about this one.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Blackpool will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Wycombe Wanderers travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Too close to call with any conviction. Wycombe Wanderers edge it at 44% but a draw (26%) is just as likely. One to tread carefully with.
Our model spots value here: Wycombe Wanderers to win at @2.80 (our model: 44%, bookmakers imply: 36%). A 8% edge over the market.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Blackpool are scoring 1.2 a game (1.2 of those at home) and Wycombe Wanderers manage 1.7 (1.7 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 52%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line.
Both teams score in 52% of Blackpool's home games and 57% of Wycombe Wanderers's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Blackpool do it the hard way: only 1.2 a game up top, but a mean 0.3 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Blackpool Win | @2.30 | 40.3% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.25 | 25.7% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Wycombe Wanderers Win | @2.80 | 43.7% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.85 | 51.8% | William Hill |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @1.85 | 48.2% | William Hill |
Our model makes Wycombe Wanderers the favourite with a 43.7% win probability, based on form, head-to-head record and expected goals.
Best available odds: Blackpool @ 2.30, Draw @ 3.25, Wycombe Wanderers @ 2.80. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Blackpool vs Wycombe Wanderers kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 in the League One.
Our top prediction is Wycombe Wanderers to win. We also rate over/under goals, BTTS, correct score and double chance, every pick is tracked and verified against real outcomes.