Where can I watch Benfica vs Aarhus?

Check official Europa League broadcaster listings (Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Premier Sports, BBC, ITV) for live TV coverage. UK streaming details are confirmed by rights holders closer to kickoff.

Benfica vs Aarhus prediction and betting tips?

This fixture is in a league we are still building a verified record on, so we show the bookmaker odds and an early read rather than a rated pick. Our tracked, verified predictions cover the major leagues, all recorded on our accuracy page.

69% verified · 759 picks Europa League Thursday 20 August 2026, 20:00

Benfica vs Aarhus Predictions & Odds

B Benfica 71.5% @1.16

VS Draw 14.7%

A Aarhus 13.8% @21.00

Our model call Model leans Benfica A 72% call, draw at 15%.

Match result modelmarket

Benfica 72% 1.16 Draw 15% 12.00 Aarhus 14% 21.00

Goals modelmarket

Under 2.5 28% 3.35 Over 2.5 72% 1.40 Over 1.5 @1.11

Both teams to score modelmarket

No 56% 1.83 Yes 44% 2.05

30+ rated markets on this game, every leg tracked in public Build this bet →

69% verified · logged before kick-off

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Key Stats

01The read

Benfica vs Aarhus: Can the Hosts Deliver?

The model makes Benfica 72% favourites here. Aarhus carry the 14% upset.

The bookmakers open Benfica at @1.16 for this Europa League tie, with Aarhus out at @21.00.

Our pick Tracking this league

Our PickBenfica to win at @1.16. Model probability 72% vs implied 86%. The market is 15pp more bullish than our model, so this is a stability pick, not a value one.

Model72%

Market86%

Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.

Key facts

⚽

Open Games Both teams score in 100% of Benfica's matches. Their games rarely stay quiet

▸ Form & goals

Goals are a tough one to call here. Benfica are scoring 2.5 a game (2.5 of those at home) and Aarhus manage 0.0 (0.0 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 72%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 44%.

▸ Team news & context

European nights carry a magic all of their own. The anthem, the spotlight, the occasion. Both sets of players will be desperate to deliver under the continental floodlights.

Benfica are all-out attack: 2.5 goals a game, but they leak 1.5 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Aarhus, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. Aarhus prefer to keep things tight (0.0 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Benfica against this setup. Neither defence inspires confidence. Both sides rarely keep clean sheets. Open, attacking football is on the cards.

▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half

Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (8%) and 3-0 (4%).

First Half Result

Benfica HT 1.50
Draw HT 3.30
Aarhus HT 11.50

Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market

The complete price grid across all bookmakers.

Benfica vs Aarhus Odds Comparison

Market	Selection	Odds	Probability	Bookmaker
Match Result	Benfica Win	@1.16	71.5%	Betano
Match Result	Draw	@12.00	14.7%	1xBet
Match Result	Aarhus Win	@21.00	13.8%	1xBet
BTTS	Yes	@2.05	43.5%	10Bet
BTTS	No	@1.83	56.5%	10Bet
Goals	Over 2.5	@1.40	71.7%	10Bet
Goals	Under 2.5	@3.35	28.3%	10Bet
Goals	Over 1.5	@1.11	-	10Bet
Goals	Under 1.5	@7.50	-	10Bet
Goals	Over 3.5	@2.00	-	10Bet
Goals	Under 3.5	@2.05	-	10Bet

05The numbers

Recent Form

Benfica

5 unbeaten

Last 5 DWDDW

At home DDW

BTTS 100%

Aarhus

Most Likely Scorelines

MOST LIKELY 2-1 7.9%

3-0 4.4%

3-1 3.3%

4-0 1.4%

3-2 1.2%

4-1 1.0%

Full Market Breakdown

Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles 9 priced markets

Under 2.5 first half goals 80% @1.25 1xBet
Over 2.5 goals 78% @1.40 10Bet
Under 4.5 goals 75% @1.47 Betano
Benfica to win the second half 74% @1.37 1xBet
Over 1 first half goals 72% @1.38 Betano
Benfica leading at half time 71% @1.50 10Bet
Under 2.5 second half goals 71% @1.53 Betano
Benfica under 3.5 goals 70% @1.52 Betano
Over 3 goals 68% @1.47 Betano

Build a slip from these markets →

Build your own bet

Our Benfica v Aarhus builder

Our model's suggested selections (each one's a "leg"). Tap to build it, then place with your own bookmaker.

1 Benfica 72% @ 1.40
2 Over 2.5 Goals 72% @ 1.39
3 Both Teams to Score - No 56% @ 1.77

@3.45 £10 returns £34.52

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The record

69%

verified hit rate across 759 graded picks, every one logged before kick-off.

See every pick ›

Benfica vs Aarhus: FAQs

Who will win Benfica vs Aarhus?

Our model makes Benfica the favourite with a 71.5% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.

What are the best odds for Benfica vs Aarhus?

Best available odds: Benfica @ 1.16, Draw @ 12.00, Aarhus @ 21.00. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.

What time does Benfica vs Aarhus kick off?

Benfica vs Aarhus kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 20:00 in the Europa League.