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A Champions League tie. Our model makes it Bayern München 0%, the draw 0%, Bodo/Glimt 0%.
A. Helmersen has been Bodo/Glimt's main threat, with 8 goals and 1 assists in 15 appearances, averaging 1.07 shots on target per game.
The gap in chance quality is clear: Bodo/Glimt come out at +1.8 a game (chances they create minus chances they give up) compared to +1.3. that's a real edge in the quality of chances.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Bayern München create chances worth 3.0 a game (and give up chances worth 1.8), leaving them +1.3 a game on the balance. Bodo/Glimt create 2.9 (giving up 1.1) for a balance of +1.8. On the quality of chances, Bodo/Glimt look the stronger side. they create more and give up less.
Bayern München average 0.0 goals per game and Bodo/Glimt manage 2.9. Combined that's just 2.9. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Bayern München and Bodo/Glimt together create chances worth 5.9 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Both teams score in 71% of Bayern München's home games and 36% of Bodo/Glimt's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
European nights carry a magic all of their own. The anthem, the spotlight, the occasion. Both sets of players will be desperate to deliver under the continental floodlights.
Bayern München do it the hard way: only 0.0 a game up top, but a mean 0.0 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break. Bodo/Glimt are similarly well-balanced. 2.9 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. This has the makings of a tight, tactical game between two organised sides. Don't underestimate the visitors. Bodo/Glimt create chances worth 2.9 a game and Bayern München give up chances worth 1.8 at home. The away side could control the ball here.
Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (25%) and 0-2 (18%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Bayern München Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Bodo/Glimt Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Bayern München vs Bodo/Glimt kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 20:00 in the Champions League.