Alaves vs Valencia Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Alaves have won three of their last five; Valencia have lost their last two. Form gives little away going into this La Liga tie.
Valencia have been outstanding on the road recently. Their away form is significantly better than their season average.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Alaves create chances worth 1.4 a game (and give up chances worth 1.1), leaving them +0.4 a game on the balance. Valencia create 1.4 (giving up 1.2) for a balance of +0.2. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
Alaves average 1.4 goals per game and Valencia manage 0.3. Combined that's just 1.8. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Both teams scoring is the pattern. It happens in 74% of Alaves's home games and 47% of Valencia's away matches.
Valencia travel here with relegation breathing down their neck. At 17th, they can't afford to drop many more points.
In the last 10 meetings: Alaves have won 5, Valencia 3, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 2.1 goals per game. 4 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Valencia 3-2 Alaves, Alaves 0-0 Valencia, Alaves 1-0 Valencia, Valencia 2-2 Alaves.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (18%) and 0-0 (13%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Alaves Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Valencia Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Alaves vs Valencia kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 19:00 in the La Liga.