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Al-Taawoun 48%, the draw 24%, Al-Fateh 27%. That's the shape of this one.
Al-Taawoun are winless in their last five; Al-Fateh are winless in their last five. Neither side arrives in rhythm for this Saudi Pro League tie.
Al-Taawoun average 1.1 goals per game and Al-Fateh manage 0.7. Combined that's just 1.8. Even so, we make it 59% for three or more. The model sees more goals here than the season averages suggest.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Al-Taawoun Win | @1.80 | 48.4% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.40 | 24.4% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Al-Fateh Win | @3.60 | 27.2% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.61 | 59.3% | Grosvenor |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.23 | 40.7% | Grosvenor |
Our model makes Al-Taawoun the favourite with a 48.4% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Al-Taawoun @ 1.80, Draw @ 3.40, Al-Fateh @ 3.60. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Al-Taawoun vs Al-Fateh kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 16:55 in the Saudi Pro League.